…we have the makings for a very interesting Senate race.
A little background is necessary:
- Democrat Ben “Cornhusker Kickback” Nelson, is up for re-election. The Republicans REALLY want to end his political career.
- Because he is possibly weakened (remember, he was a two term Governor before being elected to the Senate in 2000. He won his first election against then-Attorney General Don Stenberg (remember that name) by less than a 2 point margin.
- In 2006, he won re-election against then-political newcomer Pete Ricketts (who now serves as Nebraska’s GOP National Committeeman) by over a 12 point margin. Ricketts, for those Cubs fans amongst our readership, is one of the owners of the Chicago Cubs—his dad founded TD Ameritrade, and the family amassed a tidy sum of money in the process. Pete has since become a major player in conservative/economic libertarian politics in the state, founding the Platte Institute and helping to fund several other organizations.
Now, the players this year are interesting, as several are jumping into the water to try and take Nelson out. Just sort of an aside: Ben Nelson irritated a lot of people in Nebraska with the so-called “Cornhusker Kickback”, but I suspect that in the end (if, indeed, Nelson runs—he hasn’t announced formally yet), that whoever wins the primary race will find it a much higher hill to climb than they now think—Nelson has been around a long time, is a “born and raised” Nebraskan, has won statewide office 4 times (2 as governor, 2 as senator), and is the ONLY Democrat holding office above the legislative level in the state (i.e., the Dems won’t let him fail without a mighty battle).
Right now, there are 5 people in the race (and apparently, some of their supporters have decided to support several of them…):
- Patrick Flynn has been in the race the longest—having filed his paperwork back in late 2009. He had run for the nomination (but lost) in 2008. He hasn’t held elective office before, is an investment adviser, and seems to be making some inroads with some elements of the “tea party” crowd here in the state.
- Don Stenberg (remember, I told you to remember that name), is the oldest guy in the race (although not really all that old—early 60s, I think). He’s been around Nebraska politics forever—he was active in the GOP when I was in high school 35 years ago (guess he must not have been as much older than me as I thought at the time), and served for several terms as Nebraska’s Attorney General In 2010—after 8 years in the private sector, he ran for State Treasurer, and won, and within a short period after taking office as Treasurer in January, announced that he was running for the Senate (after Governor Heineman announced that he would NOT be running for the Senate).
- Jon Bruning became Attorney General in 2002, after serving for two terms in the Nebraska legislature. He won re-election un-opposed in both 2006 and 2010, although his fundraising efforts seemed to remain healthy. He announced for Senate early, as well.
- Last week, Spencer Zimmerman announced that he was running. He’s a young man (I think I saw somewhere that he was 31), and has a long history of running for offices in different parts of the country—including Wisconsin. He doesn’t have (that I can find) a website besides his Facebook page, and on the surface, it would seem that his primary platform is to create a unicameral national legislature…
- On Tuesday, State Senator Deb Fischer jumped into the race. She’s from the Valentine, Nebraska area of the state—way out west, where there are more cattle than people; Bruning and Stenberg are from the Lincoln-Omaha corridor (“urban" Nebraska), as is (apparently) Mr. Zimmerman; Pat Flynn is from a mid-size town (by Nebraska standards—small, I suppose, to the rest of the world) in an area of the state that sort of bridges the suburban-rural divide.
I have no idea how this is going to turn out. I’m pretty sure that Zimmerman won’t win—he’s too young, and has no history.
Beyond that, the smart money would probably have to be on either Bruning or Stenberg—Bruning has been piling up endorsements (by groups like the Tea Party Express, and from people like Mike Huckabee), but Stenberg has a history that pre-dates Bruning’s political life, and he’s got a real record to show as both a fiscal and social conservative. Flynn is something of an underdog, although he might have a shot, in a highly competitive 3-way race between Bruning, Stenberg and Fischer.
At least three of these candidates are coming to speak at our Heartland LibertyFest on August 6 (Bruning, Stenberg, Flynn—Fischer has been invited, but hasn’t responded yet).
This will be a nomination race worth watching—although whether it’s a nomination worth winning is yet to be seen. Never underestimate the political skills of Ben Nelson.
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