« Deathbed Legacies | Main | A Little Rivalry »

01/06/2009

Avoiding Scientific Heresy (Part IV) - Consensus and the Greatest Killer of Women

In his speech which focuses on the transition of science from hard facts to consensus, Michael Crichton takes a break in order to expand upon the implications of general agreement without proof:

I want to pause here and talk about this notion of consensus, and the rise of what has been called consensus science. I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you're being had.

Let's be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus. There is no such thing as consensus science. If it's consensus, it isn't science. If it's science, it isn't consensus. Period. In addition, let me remind you that the track record of the consensus is nothing to be proud of. Let's review a few cases.

In past centuries, the greatest killer of women was fever following childbirth . One woman in six died of this fever. In 1795, Alexander Gordon of Aberdeen suggested that the fevers were infectious processes, and he was able to cure them. The consensus said no. In 1843, Oliver Wendell Holmes claimed puerperal fever was contagious, and presented compelling evidence. The consensus said no. In 1849, Semmelweiss demonstrated that sanitary techniques virtually eliminated puerperal fever in hospitals under his management. The consensus said he was a Jew, ignored him, and dismissed him from his post. There was in fact no agreement on puerperal fever until the start of the twentieth century. Thus the consensus took one hundred and twenty-five years to arrive at the right conclusion despite the efforts of the prominent "skeptics" around the world, skeptics who were demeaned and ignored. And despite the constant ongoing deaths of women.

That sort of drives home the point, eh? Did anybody else make this next discovery with their own eyes before ever having it confirmed by some scientific source?:

Probably every schoolchild notices that South America and Africa seem to fit together rather snugly, and Alfred Wegener proposed, in 1912, that the continents had in fact drifted apart. The consensus sneered at continental drift for fifty years. The theory was most vigorously denied by the great names of geology - until 1961, when it began to seem as if the sea floors were spreading. The result: it took the consensus fifty years to acknowledge what any schoolchild sees.

Crichton zooms in on the crux of his argument:

Finally, I would remind you to notice where the claim of consensus is invoked. Consensus is invoked only in situations where the science is not solid enough. Nobody says the consensus of scientists agrees that E=mc2. Nobody says the consensus is that the sun is 93 million miles away. It would never occur to anyone to speak that way.

While the science is not solid enough concerning Global Warming, the political class has grabbed hold for dear life. Who couldn't understand their enthusiasm since it basically enables them to control every living thing on the planet? Isn't that the goal of every government? More in the next segment.

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d83452719d69e2010536b79996970c

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Avoiding Scientific Heresy (Part IV) - Consensus and the Greatest Killer of Women:

Comments

Blogger's Gallery

Nearly-Heartland Blogroll

Twitter Updates

    follow me on Twitter

    Other Stuff

    • Top Ron Paul Sites
    • Add to Technorati Favorites

    More

    Blog powered by TypePad
    Member since 12/2006

    Paying the Bills!

    • Online Casino - Play casino games online at Sportsbook.com
      Media Buy - Discounted airtime buying offered with Kelly Media Group TV Ads.
    • Online Casino - Play casino games online at Sportsbook.com

    We're Supporting

    • Freedom Watch
    • Ride for Honesty

    Campaign for Liberty